AUD/USD: Interim double-top – OCBC

Rally in Australian Dollar (AUD) over the last few weeks came on the back of hawkish RBA remarks, broadly softer USD, riskon sentiment and higher iron ore prices, OCBC FX strategists Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Corrective pullback is not ruled out for now

“But the rise has met resistance at near 0.68 (the high for the year). Pair failing to break above it for the second time forms an interim double-top. Last seen at 0.6780. Bullish momentum on daily chart intact but RSI eased from near overbought conditions. Corrective pullback is not ruled out for now.”

“Geopolitical risks may undermine sentiments Support seen at 0.6730 (23.6% fibo), 0.6640/50 levels (38.2% fibo retracement of 2023 low to 2024 high, 50 DMA). Resistance at 0.6799 (double top). Break-out should see AUD bulls regain momentum to test 0.6870 levels.”